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Political Science
USA
2026

D-Index & Metrics

Discipline name D-Index World Ranking Current World Ranking National Ranking Current National Ranking Publications Citations
Psychology 99 643 563 408 346 268 50309
Political Science 108 3 2 2 1 321 61996

Philip E. Tetlock publications per year

The chart shows the history of publications by Philip E. Tetlock between 1976 and 2025, highlighting the no. of papers published in each year and offering an overview of the publication velocity of this scholar. Philip E. Tetlock published across 50 years, from 1976 to 2025, averaging 6.7 papers a year. Output peaked at 15 publications in 2014. 8 of the 334 publications appeared in the last two years.

No. of publications
5 10 15
Bar chart. Horizontal axis: year, 1976 to 2025. Vertical axis: number of publications, 0 to 15. Peak 15 publications in 2014. 1976: 2 publications 1977: 2 publications 1978: 0 publications 1979: 1 publication 1980: 3 publications 1981: 3 publications 1982: 1 publication 1983: 4 publications 1984: 4 publications 1985: 8 publications 1986: 7 publications 1987: 6 publications 1988: 3 publications 1989: 9 publications 1990: 3 publications 1991: 8 publications 1992: 8 publications 1993: 12 publications 1994: 9 publications 1995: 3 publications 1996: 7 publications 1997: 4 publications 1998: 6 publications 1999: 7 publications 2000: 11 publications 2001: 8 publications 2002: 6 publications 2003: 5 publications 2004: 8 publications 2005: 9 publications 2006: 11 publications 2007: 8 publications 2008: 4 publications 2009: 14 publications 2010: 6 publications 2011: 3 publications 2012: 9 publications 2013: 6 publications 2014: 15 publications 2015: 15 publications 2016: 10 publications 2017: 14 publications 2018: 12 publications 2019: 11 publications 2020: 5 publications 2021: 11 publications 2022: 4 publications 2023: 1 publication 2024: 5 publications 2025: 3 publications
1976 2025

334 publications in total across all disciplines

View publications per year as a table
Philip E. Tetlock: publications per year, 1976 to 2025
Year Publications
1976 2
1977 2
1978 0
1979 1
1980 3
1981 3
1982 1
1983 4
1984 4
1985 8
1986 7
1987 6
1988 3
1989 9
1990 3
1991 8
1992 8
1993 12
1994 9
1995 3
1996 7
1997 4
1998 6
1999 7
2000 11
2001 8
2002 6
2003 5
2004 8
2005 9
2006 11
2007 8
2008 4
2009 14
2010 6
2011 3
2012 9
2013 6
2014 15
2015 15
2016 10
2017 14
2018 12
2019 11
2020 5
2021 11
2022 4
2023 1
2024 5
2025 3
Total 334
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Philip E. Tetlock publication distribution in Political Science in 2026

The chart shows the distribution of publications by all Research.com ranked scientists in the field of Political Science in 2026. The highlighted bar marks where Philip E. Tetlock sits on this spectrum.

No. of scientists
20 40 60 80
Bar chart with 61 bars. Horizontal axis: publications, 36–40 to 333+. Vertical axis: number of scientists, 0 to 97. Most scientists, 97, have 333+ publications. The last bar groups every scientist with 333 publications or more. The highlighted bar, 321–325 publications, is where this scientist sits. 36–40 publications: 10 scientists 41–45 publications: 11 scientists 46–50 publications: 25 scientists 51–55 publications: 27 scientists 56–60 publications: 44 scientists 61–65 publications: 52 scientists 66–70 publications: 62 scientists 71–75 publications: 62 scientists 76–80 publications: 79 scientists 81–85 publications: 71 scientists 86–90 publications: 82 scientists 91–95 publications: 65 scientists 96–100 publications: 85 scientists 101–105 publications: 76 scientists 106–110 publications: 66 scientists 111–115 publications: 78 scientists 116–120 publications: 67 scientists 121–125 publications: 73 scientists 126–130 publications: 73 scientists 131–135 publications: 64 scientists 136–140 publications: 45 scientists 141–145 publications: 53 scientists 146–150 publications: 44 scientists 151–155 publications: 45 scientists 156–160 publications: 33 scientists 161–165 publications: 32 scientists 166–170 publications: 28 scientists 171–175 publications: 31 scientists 176–180 publications: 29 scientists 181–185 publications: 27 scientists 186–190 publications: 36 scientists 191–195 publications: 27 scientists 196–200 publications: 24 scientists 201–205 publications: 16 scientists 206–210 publications: 16 scientists 211–215 publications: 19 scientists 216–220 publications: 16 scientists 221–225 publications: 17 scientists 226–230 publications: 18 scientists 231–235 publications: 23 scientists 236–240 publications: 17 scientists 241–245 publications: 13 scientists 246–250 publications: 17 scientists 251–255 publications: 9 scientists 256–260 publications: 13 scientists 261–265 publications: 8 scientists 266–270 publications: 12 scientists 271–275 publications: 8 scientists 276–280 publications: 10 scientists 281–285 publications: 13 scientists 286–290 publications: 13 scientists 291–295 publications: 5 scientists 296–300 publications: 6 scientists 301–305 publications: 11 scientists 306–310 publications: 9 scientists 311–315 publications: 6 scientists 316–320 publications: 4 scientists 321–325 publications: 4 scientists 326–330 publications: 2 scientists 331–332 publications: 5 scientists 333+ publications: 97 scientists
36–40 publications 333+

This scientist: 321 publications — 95th percentile

95% of scientists in this discipline score the same or lower.

The last bar groups every scientist with 333 publications or more.

View publications distribution as a table
Number of Political Science scientists by publication count, Research.com 2026 ranking edition. Based on 2,033 ranked scientists.
Publications Scientists This scientist
36–40 10
41–45 11
46–50 25
51–55 27
56–60 44
61–65 52
66–70 62
71–75 62
76–80 79
81–85 71
86–90 82
91–95 65
96–100 85
101–105 76
106–110 66
111–115 78
116–120 67
121–125 73
126–130 73
131–135 64
136–140 45
141–145 53
146–150 44
151–155 45
156–160 33
161–165 32
166–170 28
171–175 31
176–180 29
181–185 27
186–190 36
191–195 27
196–200 24
201–205 16
206–210 16
211–215 19
216–220 16
221–225 17
226–230 18
231–235 23
236–240 17
241–245 13
246–250 17
251–255 9
256–260 13
261–265 8
266–270 12
271–275 8
276–280 10
281–285 13
286–290 13
291–295 5
296–300 6
301–305 11
306–310 9
311–315 6
316–320 4
321–325 4 321
326–330 2
331–332 5
333+ 97
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Philip E. Tetlock D-index placement in Political Science in 2026

The chart shows the D-index (discipline H-index) distribution of Political Science scientists ranked by Research.com in 2026. The highlighted bar marks where Philip E. Tetlock sits on this spectrum.

No. of scientists
25 50 75 100
Bar chart with 43 bars. Horizontal axis: D-Index, 20 to 62+. Vertical axis: number of scientists, 0 to 100. Most scientists, 100, have 62+ D-Index. The last bar groups every scientist with 62 D-Index or more. The highlighted bar, 62+ D-Index, is where this scientist sits. 20 D-Index: 76 scientists 21 D-Index: 79 scientists 22 D-Index: 84 scientists 23 D-Index: 68 scientists 24 D-Index: 88 scientists 25 D-Index: 82 scientists 26 D-Index: 76 scientists 27 D-Index: 75 scientists 28 D-Index: 99 scientists 29 D-Index: 96 scientists 30 D-Index: 96 scientists 31 D-Index: 81 scientists 32 D-Index: 86 scientists 33 D-Index: 81 scientists 34 D-Index: 84 scientists 35 D-Index: 72 scientists 36 D-Index: 58 scientists 37 D-Index: 53 scientists 38 D-Index: 48 scientists 39 D-Index: 40 scientists 40 D-Index: 40 scientists 41 D-Index: 32 scientists 42 D-Index: 26 scientists 43 D-Index: 25 scientists 44 D-Index: 33 scientists 45 D-Index: 33 scientists 46 D-Index: 17 scientists 47 D-Index: 21 scientists 48 D-Index: 22 scientists 49 D-Index: 18 scientists 50 D-Index: 19 scientists 51 D-Index: 19 scientists 52 D-Index: 15 scientists 53 D-Index: 14 scientists 54 D-Index: 10 scientists 55 D-Index: 13 scientists 56 D-Index: 9 scientists 57 D-Index: 11 scientists 58 D-Index: 12 scientists 59 D-Index: 10 scientists 60 D-Index: 5 scientists 61 D-Index: 7 scientists 62+ D-Index: 100 scientists
20 D-Index 62+

This scientist: 108 D-Index — 100th percentile

100% of scientists in this discipline score the same or lower.

The last bar groups every scientist with 62 D-Index or more.

View D-Index distribution as a table
Number of Political Science scientists by D-index, Research.com 2026 ranking edition. Based on 2,033 ranked scientists.
D-Index Scientists This scientist
20 76
21 79
22 84
23 68
24 88
25 82
26 76
27 75
28 99
29 96
30 96
31 81
32 86
33 81
34 84
35 72
36 58
37 53
38 48
39 40
40 40
41 32
42 26
43 25
44 33
45 33
46 17
47 21
48 22
49 18
50 19
51 19
52 15
53 14
54 10
55 13
56 9
57 11
58 12
59 10
60 5
61 7
62+ 100 108
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Research.com Recognitions

  • 2026 - Research.com Political Science in United States Leader Award
  • 2025 - Research.com Political Science in United States Leader Award
  • 2023 - Research.com Political Science in United States Leader Award
  • 2016 - Fellow of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
  • 2009 - Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences
  • 2006 - Woodrow Wilson Foundation Award, American Political Science Association (APSA)

Overview

Philip E. Tetlock is affiliated with the University of Pennsylvania in the United States. Their research primarily spans the field of Decision Sciences, with a focus on forecasting techniques and applications.

They have contributed extensively to topics such as:

  • Forecasting Techniques and Applications
  • Social and Intergroup Psychology
  • Social and Cultural Dynamics
  • Electoral Systems and Political Participation
  • Data Stream Mining Techniques
  • Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
  • Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Within subfields of study, their work is categorized under:

  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Social Psychology
  • Political Science and International Relations

Philip E. Tetlock has published research in several venues, including:

  • Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition
  • SSRN Electronic Journal
  • Behavioral and Brain Sciences
  • Clinical Psychological Science
  • Science Advances

Their recent published papers include:

  • "Keep your enemies close: Adversarial collaborations will improve behavioral science" (2022, Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition)
  • "Are Progressives in Denial About Progress? Yes, but So Is Almost Everyone Else" (2022, Clinical Psychological Science)
  • "Wisdom of the silicon crowd: LLM ensemble prediction capabilities rival human crowd accuracy" (2024, Science Advances)
  • "AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy" (2024, ACM Transactions on Interactive Intelligent Systems)
  • "The road less traveled: Understanding adversaries is hard but smarter than ignoring them." (2022, Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition)

Frequent co-authors collaborating with Tetlock include:

  • Ezra Karger
  • Gregory Mitchell
  • Connie J. Clark
  • Philipp Schoenegger
  • Thomas H. Costello

The scientist has been recognized with several awards during their career:

  • Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (2009)
  • Fellow of the American Academy of Political and Social Science (2016)
  • Woodrow Wilson Foundation Award, American Political Science Association (APSA) (2006)

Best Publications

  • Accounting for the effects of accountability.

    Jennifer S. Lerner;Philip E. Tetlock

  • Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Expert Political Judgment

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • The psychology of the unthinkable: taboo trade-offs, forbidden base rates, and heretical counterfactuals.

    Philip E. Tetlock;Orie V. Kristel;S. Beth Elson;Melanie C. Green

  • Accountability and complexity of thought.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • The Impact of Accountability on Judgment and Choice: Toward A Social Contingency Model

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

    Philip E. Tetlock;Dan Gardner

  • Accountability: The neglected social context of judgment and choice.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Predicting ethnic and racial discrimination: a meta-analysis of IAT criterion studies.

    Frederick L. Oswald;Gregory Mitchell;Hart Blanton;James Jaccard

  • Thinking the unthinkable: sacred values and taboo cognitions.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • A value pluralism model of ideological reasoning

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives

    Philip Eyrikson Tetlock;Aaron Belkin

  • Accountability: A social check on the fundamental attribution error.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Social and cognitive strategies for coping with accountability: conformity, complexity, and bolstering.

    Philip E. Tetlock;Linda Skitka;Richard Boettger

  • Taboo Trade‐offs: Reactions to Transactions That Transgress the Spheres of Justice

    Alan Page Fiske;Philip E. Tetlock

  • Social functionalist frameworks for judgment and choice: intuitive politicians, theologians, and prosecutors.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Sober Second Thought: The Effects of Accountability, Anger, and Authoritarianism on Attributions of Responsibility

    Jennifer S. Lerner;Julie H. Goldberg;Philip E. Tetlock

  • Conflicts Of Interest And The Case Of Auditor Independence: Moral Seduction And Strategic Issue Cycling

    Don A. Moore;Philip E. Tetlock;Lloyd Tanlu;Max H. Bazerman

  • Accountability and judgment processes in a personality prediction task.

    Philip E. Tetlock;Jae I. Kim

  • Political diversity will improve social psychological science.

    José L. Duarte;Jarret T. Crawford;Charlotta Stern;Jonathan Haidt

  • Accountability and the perseverance of first impressions.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Impression management versus intrapsychic explanations in social psychology - a useful dichotomy

    Philip E. Tetlock;Antony Stephen Reid Manstead

Frequent Co-Authors

Barbara A. Mellers
Barbara A. Mellers University of Pennsylvania
Lyle H. Ungar
Lyle H. Ungar University of Pennsylvania
Paul M. Sniderman
Paul M. Sniderman Stanford University
Peter Suedfeld
Peter Suedfeld University of British Columbia
A. Peter McGraw
A. Peter McGraw University of Colorado Boulder
Jennifer S. Lerner
Jennifer S. Lerner Harvard University
James Jaccard
James Jaccard New York University
Hart Blanton
Hart Blanton Texas A&M University
Hal R. Arkes
Hal R. Arkes The Ohio State University
Jonathan Baron
Jonathan Baron University of Pennsylvania

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