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Political Science
USA
2026

D-Index & Metrics

Political Science

D-Index
108
Citations
61996
World Ranking
3
National Ranking
2

Psychology

D-Index
99
Citations
50309
World Ranking
643
National Ranking
408

Research.com Recognitions

  • 2026 - Research.com Political Science in United States Leader Award
  • 2025 - Research.com Political Science in United States Leader Award
  • 2023 - Research.com Political Science in United States Leader Award
  • 2016 - Fellow of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
  • 2009 - Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences
  • 2006 - Woodrow Wilson Foundation Award, American Political Science Association (APSA)

Overview

Philip E. Tetlock is affiliated with the University of Pennsylvania in the United States. Their research primarily spans the field of Decision Sciences, with a focus on forecasting techniques and applications.

They have contributed extensively to topics such as:

  • Forecasting Techniques and Applications
  • Social and Intergroup Psychology
  • Social and Cultural Dynamics
  • Electoral Systems and Political Participation
  • Data Stream Mining Techniques
  • Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
  • Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Within subfields of study, their work is categorized under:

  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Social Psychology
  • Political Science and International Relations

Philip E. Tetlock has published research in several venues, including:

  • Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition
  • SSRN Electronic Journal
  • Behavioral and Brain Sciences
  • Clinical Psychological Science
  • Science Advances

Their recent published papers include:

  • "Keep your enemies close: Adversarial collaborations will improve behavioral science" (2022, Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition)
  • "Are Progressives in Denial About Progress? Yes, but So Is Almost Everyone Else" (2022, Clinical Psychological Science)
  • "Wisdom of the silicon crowd: LLM ensemble prediction capabilities rival human crowd accuracy" (2024, Science Advances)
  • "AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy" (2024, ACM Transactions on Interactive Intelligent Systems)
  • "The road less traveled: Understanding adversaries is hard but smarter than ignoring them." (2022, Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition)

Frequent co-authors collaborating with Tetlock include:

  • Ezra Karger
  • Gregory Mitchell
  • Connie J. Clark
  • Philipp Schoenegger
  • Thomas H. Costello

The scientist has been recognized with several awards during their career:

  • Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (2009)
  • Fellow of the American Academy of Political and Social Science (2016)
  • Woodrow Wilson Foundation Award, American Political Science Association (APSA) (2006)

Best Publications

  • Accounting for the effects of accountability.

    Jennifer S. Lerner;Philip E. Tetlock

  • Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Expert Political Judgment

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • The psychology of the unthinkable: taboo trade-offs, forbidden base rates, and heretical counterfactuals.

    Philip E. Tetlock;Orie V. Kristel;S. Beth Elson;Melanie C. Green

  • Accountability and complexity of thought.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • The Impact of Accountability on Judgment and Choice: Toward A Social Contingency Model

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

    Philip E. Tetlock;Dan Gardner

  • Accountability: The neglected social context of judgment and choice.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Predicting ethnic and racial discrimination: a meta-analysis of IAT criterion studies.

    Frederick L. Oswald;Gregory Mitchell;Hart Blanton;James Jaccard

  • Thinking the unthinkable: sacred values and taboo cognitions.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • A value pluralism model of ideological reasoning

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives

    Philip Eyrikson Tetlock;Aaron Belkin

  • Accountability: A social check on the fundamental attribution error.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Social and cognitive strategies for coping with accountability: conformity, complexity, and bolstering.

    Philip E. Tetlock;Linda Skitka;Richard Boettger

  • Taboo Trade‐offs: Reactions to Transactions That Transgress the Spheres of Justice

    Alan Page Fiske;Philip E. Tetlock

  • Social functionalist frameworks for judgment and choice: intuitive politicians, theologians, and prosecutors.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Sober Second Thought: The Effects of Accountability, Anger, and Authoritarianism on Attributions of Responsibility

    Jennifer S. Lerner;Julie H. Goldberg;Philip E. Tetlock

  • Conflicts Of Interest And The Case Of Auditor Independence: Moral Seduction And Strategic Issue Cycling

    Don A. Moore;Philip E. Tetlock;Lloyd Tanlu;Max H. Bazerman

  • Accountability and judgment processes in a personality prediction task.

    Philip E. Tetlock;Jae I. Kim

  • Political diversity will improve social psychological science.

    José L. Duarte;Jarret T. Crawford;Charlotta Stern;Jonathan Haidt

  • Accountability and the perseverance of first impressions.

    Philip E. Tetlock

  • Impression management versus intrapsychic explanations in social psychology - a useful dichotomy

    Philip E. Tetlock;Antony Stephen Reid Manstead

Frequent Co-Authors

Barbara A. Mellers
Barbara A. Mellers University of Pennsylvania
Lyle H. Ungar
Lyle H. Ungar University of Pennsylvania
Paul M. Sniderman
Paul M. Sniderman Stanford University
Peter Suedfeld
Peter Suedfeld University of British Columbia
A. Peter McGraw
A. Peter McGraw University of Colorado Boulder
Jennifer S. Lerner
Jennifer S. Lerner Harvard University
James Jaccard
James Jaccard New York University
Hart Blanton
Hart Blanton Texas A&M University
Hal R. Arkes
Hal R. Arkes The Ohio State University
Jonathan Baron
Jonathan Baron University of Pennsylvania

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