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D-Index & Metrics

Social Sciences and Humanities

D-Index
41
Citations
10154
World Ranking
4930
National Ranking
833

Overview

Paul Goodwin is affiliated with the University of Bath in the United Kingdom. Their research primarily falls within the field of Decision Sciences, with a significant focus on Management Science and Operations Research.

Their recent papers include:

  • Forecasting: theory and practice, 2022, published in BOA (University of Milano-Bicocca)
  • Stability in the inefficient use of forecasting systems: A case study in a supply chain company, 2020, published in International Journal of Forecasting
  • Forecasting: theory and practice, 2022, published in International Journal of Forecasting
  • Forecast Value Added in Demand Planning, 2023, published in SSRN Electronic Journal
  • Assessing Point Forecast Bias Across Multiple Time Series: Measures and Visual Tools, 2021, published in International Journal of Statistics and Probability

Frequent co-authors in Paul Goodwin's work include:

  • Robert Fildes
  • Shari De Baets
  • Fotios Petropoulos
  • M. Sinan Gönül
  • Nigel Harvey

Paul Goodwin's publications appear mainly in the following venues:

  • International Journal of Forecasting
  • SSRN Electronic Journal
  • BOA (University of Milano-Bicocca)
  • PLoS ONE
  • Futures & Foresight Science

The scientist has contributed to book publications with the University of Massachusetts Amherst. One title is noted: The British-owned railroads and the Unión Cívica Radical: a study in the political uses of foreign capital, 1916-1930, published in 2021.

In terms of research topics, Paul Goodwin's work covers:

  • Forecasting Techniques and Applications
  • Energy Load and Power Forecasting
  • Stock Market Forecasting Methods
  • Big Data and Business Intelligence
  • Spreadsheets and End-User Computing
  • Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
  • Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations

Subfields of study include:

  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering
  • Management Information Systems
  • Software
  • General Decision Sciences

Best Publications

  • Decision Analysis for Management Judgment

    Paul Goodwin;George Wright

  • Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years

    Michael Lawrence;Paul Goodwin;Marcus O'Connor;Dilek Önkal

  • Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning

    Robert Fildes;Paul Goodwin;Michael Lawrence;Konstantinos Nikolopoulos

  • Enhancing Strategy Evaluation in Scenario Planning: a Role for Decision Analysis

    Paul Goodwin;George Wright

  • On the asymmetry of the symmetric MAPE

    Paul Goodwin;Richard Lawton

  • The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments

    Dilek Önkal;Paul Goodwin;Mary E. Thomson;Sinan Gönül

  • Against Your Better Judgment? How Organizations Can Improve Their Use of Management Judgment in Forecasting

    Robert Fildes;Paul Goodwin

  • Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: enhancing the scenario method

    George Wright;Paul Goodwin

  • Weight approximations in multi-attribute decision models

    Ron Roberts;Paul Goodwin

  • The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events

    Paul Goodwin;George Wright

  • The Holt-Winters Approach to Exponential Smoothing: 50 Years Old and Going Strong

    Paul Goodwin

  • Judgmental forecasts of time series affected by special events: does providing a statistical forecast improve accuracy?

    Paul Goodwin;Robert Fildes

  • Integrating management judgment and statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts ☆

    Paul Goodwin

  • The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness

    Robert Fildes;Paul Goodwin;Michael Lawrence

  • The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts

    Argyrios Syntetos;Konstantinos Nikolopoulos;John E. Boylan;Robert Fildes

  • Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment

    Paul Goodwin

  • Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research

    Paul Goodwin;George Wright

  • Forecasting with cue information: A comparison of multiple regression with alternative forecasting approaches

    Konstantinos Nikolopoulos;P. Goodwin;Alexandros Patelis;Vassilis Assimakopoulos

  • Future‐focussed thinking: combining scenario planning with decision analysis

    George Wright;Paul Goodwin

  • Providing support for the use of analogies in demand forecasting tasks

    Wing Yee Lee;Paul Goodwin;Robert Fildes;Konstantinos Nikolopoulos

  • Journal of behavioral decision making: J.S. Lim and M. O'Connor, 1995, Judgemental adjustment of initial forecasts: its effectiveness and biases, 8, 149–168.

    Paul Goodwin

  • Principles of forecasting: A handbook for researchers and practitioners

    Paul Goodwin;J.Keith Ord;Lars-Erik Öller;Janet A Sniezek

  • Judgment and Decision Making: An Interdisciplinary Reader

    Paul Goodwin

Frequent Co-Authors

Robin M. Hogarth
Robin M. Hogarth Pompeu Fabra University
Robert L. Winkler
Robert L. Winkler Duke University
Spyros Makridakis
Spyros Makridakis University of Nicosia

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