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Mathematics
USA
2026

D-Index & Metrics

Mathematics

D-Index
103
Citations
99844
World Ranking
41
National Ranking
29

Adrian E. Raftery publication distribution in Mathematics in 2026

The chart shows the distribution of publications by all Research.com ranked scientists in the field of Mathematics in 2026. The highlighted bar marks where Adrian E. Raftery sits on this spectrum.

42–46 publications: 3 scientists 47–51 publications: 5 scientists 52–56 publications: 7 scientists 57–61 publications: 20 scientists 62–66 publications: 14 scientists 67–71 publications: 25 scientists 72–76 publications: 19 scientists 77–81 publications: 35 scientists 82–86 publications: 50 scientists 87–91 publications: 60 scientists 92–96 publications: 86 scientists 97–101 publications: 84 scientists 102–106 publications: 83 scientists 107–111 publications: 90 scientists 112–116 publications: 99 scientists 117–121 publications: 90 scientists 122–126 publications: 91 scientists 127–131 publications: 109 scientists 132–136 publications: 110 scientists 137–141 publications: 98 scientists 142–146 publications: 112 scientists 147–151 publications: 102 scientists 152–156 publications: 88 scientists 157–161 publications: 106 scientists 162–166 publications: 82 scientists 167–171 publications: 102 scientists 172–176 publications: 77 scientists 177–181 publications: 81 scientists 182–186 publications: 78 scientists 187–191 publications: 71 scientists 192–196 publications: 92 scientists 197–201 publications: 64 scientists 202–206 publications: 69 scientists 207–211 publications: 64 scientists 212–216 publications: 62 scientists 217–221 publications: 58 scientists 222–226 publications: 53 scientists 227–231 publications: 50 scientists 232–236 publications: 46 scientists 237–241 publications: 46 scientists 242–246 publications: 46 scientists 247–251 publications: 43 scientists 252–256 publications: 29 scientists 257–261 publications: 45 scientists 262–266 publications: 30 scientists 267–271 publications: 33 scientists 272–276 publications: 34 scientists 277–281 publications: 30 scientists 282–286 publications: 31 scientists 287–291 publications: 21 scientists 292–296 publications: 34 scientists 297–301 publications: 26 scientists 302–306 publications: 10 scientists 307–311 publications: 17 scientists 312–316 publications: 23 scientists 317–321 publications: 13 scientists 322–326 publications: 16 scientists 327–331 publications: 26 scientists 332–336 publications: 13 scientists 337–341 publications: 13 scientists 342–346 publications: 16 scientists 347–351 publications: 17 scientists 352–356 publications: 12 scientists 357–361 publications: 18 scientists 362–366 publications: 18 scientists 367–371 publications: 9 scientists 372–376 publications: 11 scientists 377–381 publications: 8 scientists 382–386 publications: 8 scientists 387–391 publications: 9 scientists 392–396 publications: 9 scientists 397–401 publications: 8 scientists 402–406 publications: 11 scientists 407–411 publications: 6 scientists 412–416 publications: 6 scientists 417–421 publications: 9 scientists 422–426 publications: 8 scientists 427–431 publications: 5 scientists 432–436 publications: 8 scientists 437–441 publications: 8 scientists 442–446 publications: 4 scientists 447–451 publications: 4 scientists 452–456 publications: 4 scientists 457–461 publications: 2 scientists 462–466 publications: 2 scientists 467–471 publications: 4 scientists 472–476 publications: 3 scientists 477–481 publications: 3 scientists 482–486 publications: 6 scientists 487–491 publications: 3 scientists 492–496 publications: 5 scientists 497–501 publications: 5 scientists 502–506 publications: 1 scientists 507–511 publications: 6 scientists 512–516 publications: 4 scientists 517–521 publications: 1 scientists 522–526 publications: 3 scientists 527–531 publications: 1 scientists 532–536 publications: 4 scientists 537+ publications: 100 scientists
42 publications 537+

This scientist: 324 publications — 88th percentile

88% of scientists in this discipline score the same or lower.

The last bar groups every scientist with 537 publications or more.

Adrian E. Raftery D-index placement in Mathematics in 2026

The chart shows the D-index (discipline H-index) distribution of Mathematics scientists ranked by Research.com in 2026. The highlighted bar marks where Adrian E. Raftery sits on this spectrum.

30 D-Index: 174 scientists 31 D-Index: 151 scientists 32 D-Index: 174 scientists 33 D-Index: 117 scientists 34 D-Index: 136 scientists 35 D-Index: 127 scientists 36 D-Index: 145 scientists 37 D-Index: 153 scientists 38 D-Index: 150 scientists 39 D-Index: 150 scientists 40 D-Index: 137 scientists 41 D-Index: 136 scientists 42 D-Index: 93 scientists 43 D-Index: 108 scientists 44 D-Index: 115 scientists 45 D-Index: 112 scientists 46 D-Index: 103 scientists 47 D-Index: 75 scientists 48 D-Index: 59 scientists 49 D-Index: 67 scientists 50 D-Index: 60 scientists 51 D-Index: 57 scientists 52 D-Index: 59 scientists 53 D-Index: 62 scientists 54 D-Index: 60 scientists 55 D-Index: 50 scientists 56 D-Index: 42 scientists 57 D-Index: 54 scientists 58 D-Index: 50 scientists 59 D-Index: 42 scientists 60 D-Index: 41 scientists 61 D-Index: 35 scientists 62 D-Index: 40 scientists 63 D-Index: 21 scientists 64 D-Index: 31 scientists 65 D-Index: 27 scientists 66 D-Index: 29 scientists 67 D-Index: 19 scientists 68 D-Index: 25 scientists 69 D-Index: 17 scientists 70 D-Index: 18 scientists 71 D-Index: 12 scientists 72 D-Index: 14 scientists 73 D-Index: 13 scientists 74 D-Index: 18 scientists 75 D-Index: 9 scientists 76 D-Index: 11 scientists 77 D-Index: 10 scientists 78 D-Index: 9 scientists 79 D-Index: 16 scientists 80 D-Index: 12 scientists 81 D-Index: 10 scientists 82 D-Index: 5 scientists 83 D-Index: 5 scientists 84 D-Index: 13 scientists 85 D-Index: 6 scientists 86+ D-Index: 99 scientists
30 D-Index 86+

This scientist: 103 D-Index — 99th percentile

99% of scientists in this discipline score the same or lower.

The last bar groups every scientist with 86 D-Index or more.

Research.com Recognitions

  • 2026 - Research.com Mathematics in United States Leader Award
  • 2025 - Research.com Mathematics in United States Leader Award
  • 2013 - Member of the Royal Irish Academy
  • 2009 - Member of the National Academy of Sciences
  • 2003 - Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences
  • 1994 - Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA)

Overview

Adrian E. Raftery is affiliated with the University of Washington in the United States. Their research spans multiple interconnected fields, including demography, statistics and probability, economics and econometrics, management science and operations research, and general health professions.

Their recent publication record includes several notable papers across high-impact journals. These papers are:

  • "Comprehensive evidence implies a higher social cost of CO2," published in 2022 in Nature
  • "Country-based rate of emissions reductions should increase by 80% beyond nationally determined contributions to meet the 2 °C target," published in 2021 in Communications Earth & Environment
  • "Probabilistic projections of increased heat stress driven by climate change," published in 2022 in Communications Earth & Environment
  • "The Social Cost of Carbon: Advances in Long-Term Probabilistic Projections of Population, GDP, Emissions, and Discount Rates," published in 2022 in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
  • "How Do Education and Family Planning Accelerate Fertility Decline?" published in 2020 in Population and Development Review

Raftery's frequent coauthors include Hana Ševčíková, Kevin Rennert, Frank Errickson, Brian Prest, and Lisa Rennels, indicating collaboration across both statistical and environmental research domains.

The venues where Raftery most commonly publishes include:

  • arXiv (Cornell University)
  • The Annals of Applied Statistics
  • Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
  • Communications Earth & Environment

The main topics covered in their body of work focus on:

  • Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
  • Global Health Care Issues
  • Demographic modeling and climate adaptation
  • Climate Change Policy and Economics
  • Statistical Methods and Inference
  • Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
  • Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies

Throughout their career, Adrian E. Raftery has been recognized by several academic honors and fellowships, including:

  • Member of the Royal Irish Academy (2013)
  • Member of the National Academy of Sciences (2009)
  • Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (2003)
  • Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA) (1994)

Raftery's work combines advances in statistical methodology, particularly Bayesian inference, with applied issues in demography, health, and climate change. Their research contributes to understanding and projecting demographic changes, climate adaptation strategies, and associated economic and policy implications.

Best Publications

  • Bayesian Model Selection in Social Research

    Adrian E. Raftery

  • Bayesian Model Averaging: A Tutorial

    Jennifer A. Hoeting;David Madigan;Adrian E. Raftery;Chris T. Volinsky

  • Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

    Tilmann Gneiting;Adrian E Raftery

  • Model-Based Clustering, Discriminant Analysis, and Density Estimation

    Chris Fraley;Adrian E Raftery

  • How Many Clusters? Which Clustering Method? Answers Via Model-Based Cluster Analysis

    Chris Fraley;Adrian E. Raftery

  • Model-based Gaussian and non-Gaussian clustering

    Jeffrey D. Banfield;Adrian E. Raftery

  • mclust 5: Clustering, Classification and Density Estimation Using Gaussian Finite Mixture Models.

    Luca Scrucca;Michael Fop;T. Brendan Murphy;Adrian E. Raftery

  • Latent Space Approaches to Social Network Analysis

    Peter D Hoff;Adrian E Raftery;Mark S Handcock

  • Bayesian Model Averaging for Linear Regression Models

    Adrian E. Raftery;David Madigan;Jennifer A. Hoeting

  • Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles

    Adrian E. Raftery;Tilmann Gneiting;Fadoua Balabdaoui;Michael Polakowski

  • Computing Bayes Factors by Combining Simulation and Asymptotic Approximations

    Thomas J. Diciccio;Robert E. Kass;Adrian Raftery;Larry Wasserman

  • Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness

    Tilmann Gneiting;Fadoua Balabdaoui;Adrian E. Raftery

  • Model Selection and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Graphical Models Using Occam's Window

    David Madigan;Adrian E. Raftery

  • Bayesian Model Averaging for Linear Regression Models

    Unknown

  • Maximally Maintained Inequality: Expansion, Reform, and Opportunity in Irish Education, 1921-75.

    Adrian E. Raftery;Michael Hout

  • How Many Iterations in the Gibbs Sampler

    Adrian E Raftery;Steven Lewis

  • MCLUST Version 3: An R Package for Normal Mixture Modeling and Model-Based Clustering

    Chris Fraley;Adrian E Raftery

  • Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation

    Tilmann Gneiting;Adrian E. Raftery;Anton H. Westveld;Tom Goldman

  • Model-based clustering and data transformations for gene expression data.

    Ka Yee Yeung;Chris Fraley;Alejandro Murua;Adrian E. Raftery

  • Model‐based clustering for social networks

    Mark S. Handcock;Adrian E. Raftery;Jeremy M. Tantrum

  • On Bayesian analysis of mixtures with an unknown number of components. Discussion. Author's reply

    S. Richardson;P. J. Green;C. P. Robert;M. Aitkin

Frequent Co-Authors

Tilmann Gneiting
Tilmann Gneiting Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies
Roger E. Bumgarner
Roger E. Bumgarner University of Washington
David Madigan
David Madigan Northeastern University
Gilles Celeux
Gilles Celeux French Institute for Research in Computer Science and Automation - INRIA
Raphael Gottardo
Raphael Gottardo Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
Michael Hout
Michael Hout New York University
Fionn Murtagh
Fionn Murtagh University of Huddersfield
Joshua A. Salomon
Joshua A. Salomon Stanford University
Anthony O'Hagan
Anthony O'Hagan University of Sheffield
Jane Falkingham
Jane Falkingham University of Southampton

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