Stefano Merler

Best Publications

• The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak.

  Matteo Chinazzi;Jessica T. Davis;Marco Ajelli;Corrado Gioannini

  4082
  Citations

• Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China.

  Juanjuan Zhang;Maria Litvinova;Yuxia Liang;Yan Wang

  1346
  Citations

• Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19.

  Alberto Aleta;David Martín-Corral;Ana Pastore y Piontti;Marco Ajelli;Marco Ajelli

  859
  Citations

• Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study.

  Juanjuan Zhang;Maria Litvinova;Wei Wang;Yan Wang

  759
  Citations

• Spread of Zika virus in the Americas.

  Qian Zhang;Kaiyuan Sun;Matteo Chinazzi;Ana Pastore y Piontti

  374
  Citations

• Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models.

  Marco Ajelli;Bruno Gonçalves;Duygu Balcan;Vittoria Colizza

  367
  Citations

• The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza.

  Stefano Merler;Marco Ajelli;Marco Ajelli

  339
  Citations

• Spatiotemporal Spread of the 2014 Outbreak of Ebola Virus Disease in Liberia and the Effectiveness of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions: A Computational Modelling Analysis

  Stefano Merler;Marco Ajelli;Laura Fumanelli;Marcelo F C Gomes

  329
  Citations

• Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks

  Quan-Hui Liu;Marco Ajelli;Alberto Aleta;Stefano Merler

  272
  Citations

• The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt.

  Cécile Viboud;Kaiyuan Sun;Robert Gaffey;Marco Ajelli

  272
  Citations

• Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020.

  Flavia Riccardo;Marco Ajelli;Xanthi D Andrianou;Xanthi D Andrianou;Antonino Bella

  268
  Citations

• The early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy, Italy

  Unknown

  259
  Citations

• Inferring the Structure of Social Contacts from Demographic Data in the Analysis of Infectious Diseases Spread

  Laura Fumanelli;Marco Ajelli;Piero Manfredi;Alessandro Vespignani;Alessandro Vespignani

  249
  Citations

• Mitigation measures for pandemic influenza in Italy: an individual based model considering different scenarios.

  Marta Luisa Ciofi degli Atti;Stefano Merler;Caterina Rizzo;Caterina Rizzo;Marco Ajelli;Marco Ajelli

  219
  Citations

• The Effect of Risk Perception on the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic Influenza Dynamics

  Piero Poletti;Piero Poletti;Marco Ajelli;Stefano Merler

  213
  Citations

• Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics

  Piero Poletti;Piero Poletti;Bruno Caprile;Marco Ajelli;Marco Ajelli;Andrea Pugliese

  212
  Citations

• Modeling the impact of social distancing, testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second-wave scenarios of the COVID-19 epidemic

  Alberto Aleta;David Martin-Corral;Ana Pastore y Piontti;Marco Ajelli;Marco Ajelli

  191
  Citations

• Association of Age With Likelihood of Developing Symptoms and Critical Disease Among Close Contacts Exposed to Patients With Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Italy.

  Piero Poletti;Marcello Tirani;Danilo Cereda;Filippo Trentini

  185
  Citations

• Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling.

  Stefano Merler;Marco Ajelli;Andrea Pugliese;Neil M. Ferguson

  167
  Citations

• The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy.

  Danilo Cereda;Mattia Manica;Marcello Tirani;Francesca Rovida

  115
  Citations