World's Best Scientists 2026 revealed!
Chance
H-index 4

Chance

0933-2480

Published by: Taylor & Francis

https://chance.amstat.org/

Ranking & Metrics

Discipline name Position Best Scientists Publications D-Index
Mathematics 647 12 35 3

Additional Metrics

Number of Best Scientists*: 24
Documents by Best Scientists*: 56
Top 100 Ranked Scientists*: 4
SCIMAGO H-index:
SCIMAGO SJR:
Impact Factor: N/A

Overview

Top Research Topics at Chance?

Chance covers a variety of subjects, including Statistics, Data science, Statistician, Artificial intelligence and Mathematics education.

  • Statistics (7.97%)
  • Data science (4.49%)
  • Statistician (4.35%)

What are the most cited papers published in the journal?

  • Why Most Published Research Findings Are False (1095 citations)
  • Machine Learning, a Probabilistic Perspective (187 citations)
  • Circular Statistics in R (175 citations)

Research areas of the most cited articles at Chance:

The journal publications focus largely on the fields of Statistics, Machine learning, Artificial intelligence, Calculus and Actuarial science. While Statistics is the focus of the most cited papers, it also provides insights into the studies of Data management, Visualization, Edge (geometry), Data science and Stage (hydrology). The published papers tackle research in Online machine learning, Algorithmic learning theory, Learning classifier system and Active learning (machine learning) as part of the general discipline of Artificial intelligence, however, they also discuss concepts in Relevance vector machine.

What topics the last edition of the journal is best known for?

  • Statistics
  • Law
  • China

The previous edition focused in particular on these issues:

The primary areas of discussion in Chance are Data science, 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak, Pandemic, Actuarial science and Law. It aims to bridge the gap between the study of Data science and Exploratory survey. The research on 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak featured in Chance combines topics in other fields like Context (language use), Social issues, Field (Bourdieu) and Statistics education.

It tackles research in Pandemic and various other disciplines, including Value proposition, Excellence, Metric (unit), Health policy and Economic impact analysis. The studies in Actuarial science featured incorporate elements of Empirical research, Crash and Public good. It holds forums on Law that merges themes from other disciplines such as Polling, Correspondence analysis and Statistician.

The most cited articles from the last journal are:

  • Building Statistics and Data Science Capacity for Development (1 citations)
  • Transforming Evidence to Action: The Case of Election Participation in Nigeria (1 citations)
  • Keep a Human in the Machine and Other Lessons Learned from Deploying and Maintaining Colandr (0 citations)

Papers citation over time

A key indicator for each journal is its effectiveness in reaching other researchers with the papers published at that venue.

The chart below presents the interquartile range (first quartile 25%, median 50% and third quartile 75%) of the number of citations of articles over time.

The top authors publishing in Chance (based on the number of publications) are:

  • Howard Wainer (103 papers) published 1 paper at the last edition, 1 less than at the previous edition,
  • Christian P. Robert (53 papers) published 3 papers at the last edition, 1 less than at the previous edition,
  • Mark E. Glickman (30 papers) absent at the last edition,
  • Miron L. Straf (24 papers) absent at the last edition,
  • Stephen E. Fienberg (24 papers) absent at the last edition.

The overall trend for top authors publishing in this journal is outlined below. The chart shows the number of publications at each edition of the journal for top authors.

Only papers with recognized affiliations are considered

The top affiliations publishing in Chance (based on the number of publications) are:

  • National Board of Medical Examiners (34 papers) absent at the last edition,
  • Paris Dauphine University (19 papers) absent at the last edition,
  • Columbia University (19 papers) absent at the last edition,
  • University of Pennsylvania (16 papers) absent at the last edition,
  • Duke University (15 papers) published 1 paper at the last edition.

The overall trend for top affiliations publishing in this journal is outlined below. The chart shows the number of publications at each edition of the journal for top affiliations.

Publication chance based on affiliation

The publication chance index shows the ratio of articles published by the best research institutions in the journal edition to all articles published within that journal. The best research institutions were selected based on the largest number of articles published during all editions of the journal.

The chart below presents the percentage ratio of articles from top institutions (based on their ranking of total papers).Top affiliations were grouped by their rank into the following tiers: top 1-10, top 11-20, top 21-50, and top 51+. Only articles with a recognized affiliation are considered.

During the most recent 2021 edition, 53.33% of publications had an unrecognized affiliation. Out of the publications with recognized affiliations, 21.43% were posted by at least one author from the top 10 institutions publishing in the journal. Another 0.00% included authors affiliated with research institutions from the top 11-20 affiliations. Institutions from the 21-50 range included 50.00% of all publications and 28.57% were from other institutions.

Returning Authors Index

A very common phenomenon observed among researchers publishing scientific articles is the intentional selection of journals they have already attended in the past. In particular, it is worth analyzing the case when the authors participate in the same journal from year to year.

The Returning Authors Index presented below illustrates the ratio of authors who participated in both a given as well as the previous edition of the journal in relation to all participants in a given year.

Returning Institution Index

The graph below shows the Returning Institution Index, illustrating the ratio of institutions that participated in both a given and the previous edition of the conference in relation to all affiliations present in a given year.

The experience to innovation index

Our experience to innovation index was created to show a cross-section of the experience level of authors publishing in a journal. The index includes the authors publishing at the last edition of a journal, grouped by total number of publications throughout their academic career (P) and the total number of citations of these publications ever received (C).

The group intervals were selected empirically to best show the diversity of the authors' experiences, their labels were selected as a convenience, not as judgment. The authors were divided into the following groups:

  • Novice - P < 5 or C < 25 (the number of publications less than 5 or the number of citations less than 25),
  • Competent - P < 10 or C < 100 (the number of publications less than 10 or the number of citations less than 100),
  • Experienced - P < 25 or C < 625 (the number of publications less than 25 or the number of citations less than 625),
  • Master - P < 50 or C < 2500 (the number of publications less than 50 or the number of citations less than 2500),
  • Star - P ≥ 50 and C ≥ 2500 (both the number of publications greater than 50 and the number of citations greater than 2500).

The chart below illustrates experience levels of first authors in cases of publications with multiple authors.

Top Publications

  • Statistics as Squid Ink: How Prominent Researchers Can Get Away with Misrepresenting Data

    Andrew Gelman;Alexey Guzey

    (2020)
    22 Citations
  • ASA President’s Task Force Statement on Statistical Significance and Replicability

    Yoav Benjamini;Richard D. De Veaux;Bradley Efron;Scott Evans

    (2021)
    6 Citations
  • Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment

    (2024)
    4 Citations
  • Prime Suspects

    (2020)
    3 Citations
  • Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing

    Christian Robert

    (2021)
    2 Citations
  • Assessing Evidence vs. Truth in the Coronavirus Pandemic

    Andrew Gelman

    (2020)
    1 Citations
  • What Are the Chances? (Why We Believe in Luck)

    (2022)
    1 Citations
  • A Second Course in Probability

    (2024)
    1 Citations
  • Statistics and Analysis of Scientific Data (Second Edition)

    Christian Robert

    (2021)
    1 Citations
  • Essentials of Probability Theory for Statisticians

    Christian Robert

    (2020)
    1 Citations

Related Online Degrees & Career Pathways

Pursuing a mathematics degree online offers flexibility and access to quality education from top U.S. institutions. For students looking to complement their math studies with business skills, exploring an easiest MBA program can be a strategic move to enhance career opportunities without the high pressure of competitive admissions.

Those interested in accelerating their education might consider programs such as the shortest online MBA, which allow students to earn their degree in less time, balancing work and study effectively. Similarly, if you have a passion for sports and management, a sports management online degree could open doors to niche roles within the sports industry while still leveraging analytical and organizational skills.

Exploring the best math degree online programs helps students identify courses that fit their career goals, whether in data science, finance, education, or technology. Ultimately, selecting the right online degree path ensures a competitive edge in the evolving job market.

Best Scientists Contributing to This Journal

Recently Published Articles